Poor Countries Could Suffer 90% of all Heat-Related Deaths By 2050
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By Simmone Shah
Published on March 25, 2026.
A report by the Climate Impact Lab has revealed that 90% of all deaths caused by rising temperatures are expected to occur in low- and middle-income countries by 2050, with 10 times more people set to die in poor countries each year than in rich ones. The researchers used local, county-level data on mortality worldwide and extreme temperatures to create a statistical model to analyze mortality rates for the last 20 to 40 years. They found that Northern Africa, the Middle East, and Southwest Asia are likely to see the greatest increases in deaths from rising temperatures, while poorer countries will see the most suffering. Despite having a similar climate, Burkina Faso is expected to experience double the number of deaths from heat compared to Kuwait by 2050. The study aims to identify which countries will likely see the highest impact and what adaptation measures might help.
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