Investors rip up European boom bets as stagflation fears soar on Iran war oil shock
By Hugh Leask
Published on March 18, 2026.
The Iran war is affecting European market sentiment, with investors cutting exposure to eurozone-area stocks due to fears of flatlining growth and a stagflation shock. Oil prices have surged since the start of the conflict, with Brent crude rising more than 56% over the past month to almost $110 a barrel. The bank's survey also revealed that 21% of respondents remain overweight in European equities, lower than the 35% seen in February. While the majority of survey respondents (96%) regard an outright recession in Europe as off the table, 54% now expect European growth to flatline this year, a rise from 15% in February's survey. The percentage of respondents expecting stagflation has also surged, with 39% expecting European core inflation to be higher in a year.
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