Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026
By Nancy Lubale
Published on March 19, 2026.
Bitcoin (BTC) may drop to $55,000 in 2026 due to lack of bullish catalysts amid macroeconomic uncertainties, according to prediction markets. The majority of traders expect the market to continue its downtrend throughout 2026, with targets as low as $40,000. As of Thursday, bettors are pricing in about 71% odds of BTC dropping below $55k before Dec. 31, a 13% increase from the previous day. However, they do not expect Strategy to sell its BTC holdings in 2025. Despite this, Polymarket traders still see routine Strategy purchases throughout the year as a high-probability event.
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