The 10 Riskiest NBA Contracts by 2028
By Eric Pincus
Published on March 10, 2026.
The article discusses the ten riskiest X NBA contracts by 2028, using a methodology developed by B/R (Predicting the Worst-Value NBA Contracts in 2 Years) to identify the tipping point where an NBA player's contract begins to become a significant burden. This list includes first-round picks who can extend their contract before their fourth season without limitation, typically younger players paid more for potential than for proven track record. The league allows for a rookie-scale player to earn above their normal max by reaching certain goals like Most Valuable Player, Defensive Player of the Year, or an All-NBA designation. However, this could lead to a trend of overspending on multiple players on similar rookie-size extensions. The article also highlights the potential for teams to overextend players on these contracts, highlighting potential risks in the future.
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