What's really got the U.S. stock market worried about this latest geopolitical conflict
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By Fred Imbert
Published on March 3, 2026.
The U.S. stock market is experiencing a surge in oil prices and the dollar, but the reaction in Treasurys has baffled global investors. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield has risen by over 14 basis points to around 4.1%. The shorter-term 2-year note yield, which is sensitive to Federal Reserve policy, has also seen a significant increase. This unusual move is seen as a sign that investors may value Treasuranys in uncertain times. The surge in energy prices, including a significant rise in natural gas prices, has led to concerns about the impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
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