Despite the current presence of La Niña in the tropical Pacific, forecasters predict that it will weaken and transition to ENSO-neutral conditions, likely lasting through May and June. This could result in fewer storms during the second half of the hurricane season compared to the first half. There is also a 15 percent chance of a "Super El Niño" developing, which would reduce storm activity significantly. Forecasters are predicting 11 to 16 named storms for the upcoming hurricane season, a decrease from the historical average of 14.