A Long Gulf War Can Starve the World. A Hormuz Transit Deal Could Save Millions.
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By Comfort Ero
Published on April 3, 2026.
The Strait of Hormuz, a key transit hub for food, fertilizer, and raw materials, has been hit hard by the ongoing Gulf War involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. This has led to high oil prices and gas prices, including gas prices in the U.S. and potential liquefied natural gas shortages in Asian countries. The World Food Program estimates that around 45 million people could fall into life-threatening food insecurity if the conflict does not end by summer. The author suggests that a political solution is a modest design to ensure the safe passage of food and related materials through the Strait. The Black Sea Grain Initiative, which was brokered in 2022 amid Russia's war in Ukraine, offers a valuable lesson for how diplomacy can still make room for necessity.
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