South Africa plays down oil shock risks, bets on commodities to steady debt path
By Colleen Goko
Published on March 18, 2026.
South Africa's Treasury has stated that it expects government debt to stabilise as planned despite rising oil prices and market volatility linked to the Middle East conflict. Director-General Duncan Pieterse highlighted the broader impact of shifting commodity prices on terms of trade and tax revenue. He suggested that higher oil prices could boost export earnings if they support coal and iron ore prices, helping miners and increasing corporate tax and royalty receipts. The Treasury had already anticipated extra commodity-related revenue this year.
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