An economist's argument why Jacob Rodriguez is a top NFL draft pick
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Published on March 12, 2026.
James Kemper, an economist at Texas Tech, argues that Jacob Rodriguez, who performed well at the NFL Combine and led the best defense in D1 and helped Texas Tech to its greatest season in program history, should have been predicted as a second-round pick. He argues that the combine does not accurately measure the ability to play football and instead relies on collegiate game performance. His argument comes from a study by Kuzmits and Adams that found no consistent statistical relationship between combine tests and professional success. The study also found that NFL teams overvalue their ability to distinguish between players, paying high prices to move up in the draft for prospects who deliver less surplus value than cheaper players taken later.
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