S&P 500's valuation has fallen to levels that have preceded past comebacks
By Fred Imbert
Published on March 25, 2026.
The S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings ratio has dropped to 19.7, just below its five-year average of around 20.1, and the cheapest the index has traded since "Liberation Day" in 2025. This comes amidst concerns about the U.S.-Iran war, which has fueled fears of recession and increased inflation. However, when SPX forward P/E falls below 20x, forward returns have been favorable.
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