Moody’s warning on private credit is the loudest one yet
Airfind news item
By Celine Provini
Published on March 27, 2026.
Moody's Ratings have downgraded FS KKR Capital Corp. from Baa3 to Ba1, marking a significant step in the downward trend. The fund is jointly managed by KKR and FS Investments, which together hold roughly $14 billion in total assets under management. Moody's also highlighted structural risks beyond just weak quarterly earnings, which could expose the fund to significantly deeper losses if conditions worsen. Non-accrual loans where borrowers have stopped making payments are among the highest among all rated business development companies in the private credit space at 5.5% of total investments by 2025. Software and related services represent the largest loan category at 16.4% of the total portfolio exposure at year-end 2025. The level of concentration has become a major vulnerability due to rising interest rates and AI-driven competition. UBS Group predicts that private credit default rates could increase to 13% in 2026 if AI adoption accelerates. Apollo Global Management will limit its private fund withdrawals from its most fragile and most fragile sectors.
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