Tiebreaker scenarios for USA, Italy, Mexico
Airfind news item
By Anthony Castrovince
Published on March 11, 2026.
The fate of the United States is uncertain for the World Baseball Classic, with Italy and Mexico remaining in play in various scenarios. If Italy defeats Mexico, Italy would be the Pool B winner, while Team USA, Italy, and the U.S. would both advance to the quarterfinals. However, if Mexico defeats Italy, Mexico would advance, but a mathematical tiebreaker will determine if Italy or Team USA advances. The final score of the Italy-Mexico game, watched at 7 p.m. ET on Tubi, will determine whether Team USA progresses. The team has completed all four of its pool games and there is no scenario in which Mexico could win without advancing.
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