Prediction markets suggest that President Donald Trump's presidency is now likely to be impeached before Jan. 1, 2028, with a contract on whether it will occur trading at 72%, with $1.76 million in volume. The nearer-term numbers are lower: 4% before June 2026 and 13% before Jan, 2027. A separate contract on impeachment and removal from office sits at 21.1%. The House control market gives Democrats an 84% chance of winning the chamber in November, while the House currently holds a 218-214 majority, and 18 of the last 20 midterms have seen the president's party lose House seats. The House Speaker Mike Johnson has warned that a Democratic House would impeach Trump and create "absolute chaos". However, history shows that impeachment without conviction has historically helped the president it targets, with both presidents being acquitted both times.