Soldier won $410K in Polymarket bets on timing of Maduro capture, US alleges
By Jon Brodkin
Published on April 24, 2026.
US Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke has been arrested for insider trading, accused of making prediction-market bets on the timing of the military's capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The Department of Justice alleges that Van Dykes used his access to classified information about the operation to profit. He was indicted on charges of unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain, theft of nonpublic government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. The bets, which included 13 bets on various Venezuelan-related markets, were made a week before Maduro's capture. President Trump compared the wagers to "Pete Rose betting on his own team".
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