Bitcoin Rallies After Iran Strikes but Safe Haven Role Unproven
Published on March 25, 2026.
Bitcoin (BTC) began trading sideways before the Iran war broke out, while gold rallied to record levels. Despite initially falling to $63,176 on the news of the attacks, Bitcoin has since risen about 12% to $71,012. This comes as rising oil prices and inflation fears have negatively impacted gold. However, Jonatan Randin, a senior market analyst at PrimeXBT, said Bitcoin continues to trade like a risk asset rather than a safe haven and sells off alongside equities during geopolitical shocks. He said that global liquidity remains the dominant driver of Bitcoin’s price, with macro conditions outweighing headline-driven volatility. The analysis also found that Bitcoin moved in the same direction as global M2 in 83% of 12-month periods, higher than gold.
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