Uncomfortably high inflation is a real problem and it’s not going away anytime soon
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By David Goldman
Published on April 11, 2026.
The US economy has been dealing with high inflation since 2021, with inflation returning to pre-pandemic levels and Americans not yet adjusting to higher prices. The oil price shock from the Iran war is unlikely to result in a recession, but it could make it harder for low- and middle-income Americans to keep up with their payments. The savings rate (savings as a percentage of after-tax income) was only 4% in February, compared to 7.5% in 2020, and inflation surged 3.3% in March 2021. Despite this, the average annual paycheck growth has exceeded inflation for three consecutive years. The average US household is paying an additional $190 a month due to higher costs, which will effectively wipe out the average tax benefit for two months. The rise in gas prices has also negatively impacted other economic benefits.
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