Tucker Carlson's popularity among Republican voters is in "absolute free fall," according to a poll from YouGov and UMass Lowell. The poll, conducted before the Iran war, found that in March 2024, Carlson's favorability rating with conservative voters was only +7, two years later, dropping to +7. This drop is attributed to President Trump's criticism of Carlson as a low IQ person. CNN's polling expert, John Enten, called Carlson "electoral poison" and noted that California Gov. Gavin Newsom would likely beat him by 11 percentage points in a general election. predictions suggest that Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio will likely secure the 2028 GOP nomination.