The upcoming El Niño could rival strongest in history. Here’s what it means for Florida
By Jonathan Kegges
Published on May 7, 2026.
The upcoming El Niño could be among the strongest in history, with the strongest reaching 2.5° Celsius above normal since 1950. The strongest El Niño since 1877 was the El Niño of 1877, which was 2.7% above normal. To be considered an El Niño, the anomaly must grow to a level of over 50° degrees Fahrenheit. The latest European ensembles depict a significant chance of eclipsing the El Neastastast.
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