India's wheat harvest is expected to rise in 2026 from the previous year, but fall short of initial estimates due to unseasonal rains and hailstorms affecting the crop. The world's largest wheat producer, China, grows a single annual crop and has seen declining yields in recent years. The government has forecasted a record 120.21 million metric tons for this year, while the flour millers' body estimates production at 115 million tons. Despite recent rains cooling wheat fields, hailststorms have damaged crops in parts of India, raising concerns about the quality of the harvest.