Super El Niño Risk Raises Pacific Hurricane Concern
By Ian Hayden Parker
Published on May 1, 2026.
Mexico's National Association of Meteorologists (UNAM) has issued a climate warning regarding a potential strong El Niño event in 2026–2027, which could significantly increase the risk of severe weather in Mexico, including higher droughts, heavier rainfall, and stronger Pacific hurricanes. The warning comes as Mexico's Pacific coast prepares for the official start of hurricane season on May 15 and is already watching forecasts suggesting above-normal activity. The main concern is that rapid intensification, which can leave coastal communities with less time to prepare for storms near shore. UNAM's warning does not guarantee a historic event. However, it warns that climate forecasts still carry uncertainty, especially during spring. The strength of the El Niño will depend on how the ocean and atmosphere interact during the next several months.
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