The odds of 50 Random things happening to you — from being struck by lightning to winning the lottery
By Isabel Sepulveda
Published on April 10, 2026.
The odds of 50 random events happening to you, including being struck by lightning or winning the lottery, are often underestimated due to human tendency to overvalue small samples. These probabilities can be attributed to representativeness, availability, and anchoring. The odds were determined using government statistics, scientific articles, and other primary documents. Factors such as the number of Olympic athletes competing in the 2022 Winter Olympics and their chances of reaching an Olympic podium significantly decreased when expanded to include the general population. However, the odds of dying in a commercial plane crash remain around 1 in 11 million. Stacker also notes that commercial aviation remains highly safe, with only seven fatal accidents in 2024 compared to one for every 456,000 flights a decade ago.
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