The Mexican Finance Ministry (SHCP) is predicting a rebound of up to 2.8% this year and 1.9% in 2027, according to its “General Economic Policy Preliminary Guidelines for 2027” document. The forecasts represent significantly faster growth than the 0.8%. The ministry's growth outlook for this year is unchanged from the 2026 budget proposal submitted last September. The midpoints of the ministry’s growth forecasts are 2.3%, in 2026 and 2.4%, respectively, which are significantly more optimistic than consensus forecasts from the Bank of Mexico's March survey of 41 private sector economic analysis and consulting groups. The ministry also noted that investment will be one of the main drivers of growth, with private investment expected to rebound as companies adapt to the new regulatory environment and the USMCA review process moves forward. It also highlighted Mexico's strong public debt, high levels of foreign direct investment, and a more favorable tariff environment than its competitors.